Thursday, January 6, 2011

Alomar and Blyleven Welcome to Cooperstown!

Congrats to Roberto Alomar and Bert Blyleven, both deserving of enshrinement in the Hall of Fame!

Bert Blyleven gets in on his last try with 79.7% of the vote and after not getting in last year because of reasons like "nobody should ever be unanimous" and mythical idea of a "first ballot hall of famer", Roberto Alomar gets in on his second try with 90% of the vote.

I don't have a vote (yet) but here is my make-believe Hall of Fame ballot and here is how all of the voting went down:


Name
Votes
Pct.
Roberto Alomar
523
90.00%
Bert Blyleven
463
79.70%
Barry Larkin
361
62.10%
Jack Morris
311
53.50%
Lee Smith
263
45.30%
Jeff Bagwell
242
41.70%
Tim Raines
218
37.50%
Edgar Martinez
191
32.90%
Alan Trammell
141
24.30%
Larry Walker
118
20.30%
Mark McGwire
115
19.80%
Fred McGriff
104
17.90%
Dave Parker
89
15.30%
Don Mattingly
79
13.60%
Dale Murphy
73
12.60%
Rafael Palmeiro
64
11.00%
Juan Gonzalez
30
5.20%
Harold Baines
28
4.80%
John Franco
27
4.60%
Kevin Brown
12
2.10%
Tino Martinez
6
1.00%
Marquis Grissom
4
0.70%
Al Leiter
4
0.70%
John Olerud
4
0.70%
B.J. Surhoff
2
0.30%
Bret Boone
1
0.20%
Benito Santiago
1
0.20%
Carlos Baerga
0
0.00%
Lenny Harris
0
0.00%
Bobby Higginson
0
0.00%
Charles Johnson
0
0.00%
Raul Mondesi
0
0.00%
Kirk Rueter
0
0.00%



Some thoughts:

  • Barry Larkin should get in next year in what will be a very weak ballot, at least considering who the voters are going for. 
  • Jack Morris' chances of getting in are on very thin ice.  He barely improved this year (up only 1.2%), only has 3 more years left on the ballot and faces very tough competition in the future with the ballots in 2013 and 2014 looking stacked.  If Morris is going to get in, his best, and maybe only chance, is next year on a weak ballot before Bonds, Clemens, Mussina, Glavine, Maddux, Piazza, Biggio, Sosa and Frank Thomas enter in '13 and '14.
  • Kevin Brown, WTF!   I can't really complain too much because I didn't vote for the guy, but there is a very strong argument for his inclusion and for him to not get another chance (having received less than the 5% benchmark to stay on the ballot) is very disappointing.
  • I would have obviously liked to see Bagwell make it as I think he's arguably the most qualified on the list, but a 41.70% showing isn't the worst thing.  It doesn't mean that he's likely to get in, but he has a chance, and that's all I can ask for...
  • Because the players who are actually linked to steroids have NO SHOT.  McGwire has lost votes each year, Palmeiro only received 11% and Kevin Brown fell off the ballot.   The Hall of Fame voters are clearly drawing a line in the sand that steroids are not welcome in Cooperstown.  I used to think that Bonds and Clemens would get in, and maybe they will, but it's looking more and more like they won't.  
  • Poor Tim Raines.  As the steroid sluggers pop up on the ballots in the upcoming years there is a chance people turn their attention (or votes) towards the speedster, but 37.5% isn't too promising.  

    2 comments:

    1. If Morris gets in, I give up on the HOF. That will be the worst selection since the 1971 Vet Committee debacle, when they were basically electing their old drinking buddies who once hit .300 in 1912.

      The guy was the definition of league average and he threw a shutout in a World Series game 7. A guy is not a HOFer for one great game. He was basically the Freddy Garcia of the 1980s.

      Alomar and Blyleven are good choices. Barry Larkin never excited me - a couple of good years and then a lot of mediocre years where the media talked about his great "leadership" skills a lot, which is code for "We like this guy but he can't really hit anymore."

      Bagwell and Raines deserve to get in. It's so obvious for both of them that I can't believe it would even be necessary to explain why.

      ReplyDelete
    2. Jack Morris is like Derek Lowe if Lowe won some World Series games and threw a no hitter, oh wait a minute...

      I think Larkin has a pretty strong case, he's pretty much Alomar's equal. As hitters, while they did it in slightly different ways, they were essentially the same: career.366 wOBA for Larkin and .365 for Alomar, both had a 116 OPS+. Alomar had 1,000 more plate appearances or so, but Larkin played the harder position.

      Essentially I'm not sure why Alomar gets 90% of the vote and Larkin only gets 62.1%.

      Bagwell is arguably the best player on the ballot and if you are going to snub him cause of steroid suspicion (fucking ridiculous) wouldn't voting for a guy like Raines be a perfect choice?

      ReplyDelete