everyone has easy access these days to metrics like BABIP and FIP. On the other hand, being able to properly weight upside vs. risk, negotiating statistical incentives to effectively manage a roster of assets, and having psychological insight to competitors’ needs still have supreme importance...Every professional poker player knows when to hold and when to fold, they essentially all play the same few starting hands anyways. A good player knowing to throw away their pre flop low pair after several raises is probably like a good fantasy baseball player not buying the hype of a career year in the 3rd round of a draft. There are a lot of similarities here.
Fantasy baseball has become a lot more like poker in recent years. If we all follow what the data is telling us, we’ll all start out with a strong draw of cards. Finding the best way to minimize the damage created by unlucky and unforeseeable flop becomes the thing that will separate the winners from the losers more often than not.
At the higher levels of each, everyone knows what they are doing and everyone has a strategy. And in Fantasy at that point, luck plays an even larger factor. In an advanced league everyone will theoretically already know your "advanced" strategies that work in your public league. When every every closer in waiting already locked up and Mariano Rivera goes down, well that's just bad luck. So I definitely agree with the Junkie here. If everyone is using the same data for player evaluation (much like poker player using the same starting hands) being able to stay in the tournament when someone's gets you on the river, or in this case being able to deal with unforseen injuries become the difference maker.
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