Tuesday, December 2, 2008

Burnett or Lowe

I know I've spent a good amount of time on Burnett and Lowe, but I think it's reasonable. Sabathia is the obvious big name pitcher and with him tied with the Yankees at this point, Burnett and Lowe are the biggest name pitchers. Also, there haven't been many talks with Manny and Teix, so most of the rumor love is going to pitchers. With that said Rob Neyer had a nice Hot Topic chat today regarding Burnett and Lowe.

Good stuff. And I have to agree with Neyer, overall if you are going to sign one of them, Lowe is the better choice. His final point is a great one, with Lowe you know that at least for some of those years you know what you're going to get, with Burnett you can't say that. Both have attributes that would help and then others that would hurt their future success/durability. Burnett is often injured but has a great strikeout rate that (mentioned in the chat) is an indicator of future success. Lowe on the other hand is 5 years older, but supports a great sinker that can and should keep him successful in the game for a long time.

Burnett is 31, which definitely is older than most would imagine, and has never been consistently good. He hasn't ever really put together a great season, and at 31 people are still expecting it to happen. I guess there is potential there still, but at 31 can you reasonably expect him to tap it, and then do it over the course of a 4 or 5 year deal?

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