Manny has a 2 year $45m offer from the Dodgers on the table. From what I've heard the first year is $25m guaranteed and the next year is a player option. If the economy turns around Manny can peace LA and get a bigger deal if he could. If it doesn't or if he has an off year he can accept the 1 year $20m option. This sounds pretty fair to me, Manny isn't going to get a 4 year $100m deal that he wants. He's actually not going to get anything more than this offer, how much longer can the Dodgers negotiate with him and Boras before enough is enough. I'm 90% sure he'll accept this which is a lot but not as much as some Dodger ticket salesmen.
Manny isn't worth $25m when you factor in his inept fielding, but Manny is likely the difference between the playoffs or not for the Dodgers. In that case, even if his value is closer to $15-20m the difference between the postseason or no postseason is worth the extra few million for LA to give to Manny. It's similar reasoning to why the Royals have made some really questionable signings. Jose Guillen may help a team like the Royals win 72 games instead of 70 games, but either way they aren't sniffing the playoffs. It's hard to argue with teams overspending slightly when it's a matter of playing baseball in October.
But then I think about the Abreu contract. Manny Ramirez is a much better hitter than Abreu, but is he worth $20m more? I would tend to say of course not but last year Manny's war was 6.5 valued at $29.4m, and Abreu's was 1.5 valued at $6.8m. Abreu had a slightly down year and Manny a year he's unlikely to repeat, but the numbers don't lie.
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