Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Awesome News: Jamie Moyer On the Comeback Trail!

Jamie Moyer's Rookie Card
It looks like Jamie Moyer is going to undergo Tommy John Surgery with an eye on returning in 2012.

Moyer is currently 48 years old and will be 49 by the time 2012 rolls around.  Moyer was 9-9 with a 4.84 ERA before he got hurt this year, so there might not be much left in the tank for him but I really hope that Moyer has a successful surgery and a chance to pitch until he's 50.

Several years ago, when Julio Franco was still around, I was quietly rooting for him to keep it up until he was 50 but it wasn't meant to be.  Moyer, however, offers more than Julio Franco  who couldn't do much but occasionally pinch hit and play first base.  Moyer is a obviously a starting pitcher, and starting pitchers who are even 10% worse than league average are often hard to come by.  That's about where Moyer stands right now.  Over the last 4 years Moyer is 51-38 with a 4.59 ERA and a 95 ERA+.

There isn't much history on 49 year olds coming off of Tommy John Surgery, which means to say there is absolutely none, so it would be hard to even assume Moyer could be what he was in 2010, but hey, you never know.   

I could see a team like the Padres taking a flier on Moyer.  Keeping Moyer in the National League and moving him from the Phillies bandbox to Petco will surely help Moyer.  Moyer isn't an extreme fly ball pitcher by any means, but with such minimal stuff he's prone to the long ball, so pitching in a park that suppresses home runs could make Moyer a startable 5th starter.  Also, while I don't know what the Padres roster will look like in 2012, they currently have about 15 center fielders (Will Venable, Tony Gwynn Jr., Scott Hairston and Cameron Maybin) so outfield defense won't be a problem.  Further, by 2012 Adrian Gonzalez will be (A)gone and there won't be much for fans to root for.  I doubt that that Jamie Moyer will help Petco surpass the 3 Million attendance mark, but if I was living in San Diego with nothing to do I'd certainly at least be curious to see what a 49 (and fingers crossed a 50) year old pitcher could do.

From his seasonal age 40 and on Jamie Moyer is 103-79 with a 4.40 ERA and a 99 ERA+.  Jamie Moyer has been an average pitcher at age 40 for 8 seasons.  That is definitely one instance where being average is quite remarkable.

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